Jason Wells’ Bracketology NCAA Bubble Watch March 13

American Athletic
Locks: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, Memphis, SMU
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Atlantic 10

Locks: George Washington, Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Virginia Commonwealth

Should be in: Dayton, Saint Joseph’s

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ACC

Locks: Duke, North Carolina, Pittsburgh,  Syracuse, Virginia

Teams on the Bubble:

Florida State (RPI #55 SOS 48 NC SOS 106)
2-8 vs teams in the field
Chances for an at large bid: 19%
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Big 12
Locks: Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas
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Big East

Locks: Creighton, Villanova

Teams Should Be In:  Xavier

Teams on the Bubble:

Providence (RPI #53 SOS 76 NC SOS 220)

2-6 vs teams in the field

Chances for an at large bid: 19%

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Big 10

Locks: Michigan, Michigan State, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio State, Wisconsin

Teams On The Bubble

Minnesota (RPI #51 SOS 6 NC SOS 29)
4-8 vs teams in the field
Chances for an at large bid: 67%

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Pacific 12

Locks: Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Oregon, Stanford, UCLA

Teams on the Bubble:

California (RPI #53 SOS 31 NC SOS 98)
5-10 vs teams in the field
Chances for an at large bid: 61%
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SEC

Locks: Florida, Kentucky

Teams Should Be In: Tennessee
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West Coast
Locks: Gonzaga

Teams on the Bubble:

BYU (RPI #31 SOS 24 4 NC SOS 5)

4-6 vs teams in the field

Chances for an at large bid: 94%
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Other Conferences

Auto Bid: North Dakota State, Wichita State

Teams on the Bubble:

Southern Mississippi (RPI #34 SOS 153 NC SOS 162)
3-1 vs teams in the field
Chances for an at large bid: 69%
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Breakdown of the bubble teams

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Auo-VV8zL2EfdDVRS3cxWWhpMFNheVZXY09uWTZFWEE&output=html

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