Jason Wells’ Bracketology NCAA Bubble Watch March 6

American Athletic
Locks: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, Memphis, SMU
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Atlantic 10

Locks: George Washington, Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Virginia Commonwealth

Should be in: Saint Joseph’s

Teams on the Bubble:

Dayton (RPI #47 SOS 64 NC SOS 97)
5-5 vs teams in the field
Wins/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 73%
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ACC

Locks: Duke, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia

Teams Should Be In: Pittsburgh

Teams on the Bubble:

Florida State (RPI #57 SOS 36 NC SOS 106)
3-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 29%
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Big 12
Locks: Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas
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Big East

Locks: Creighton, Villanova

Teams Should Be In: Xavier

Teams on the Bubble:

Providence (RPI #51 SOS 79 NC SOS 186)
3-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 45%

Georgetown (RPI #56 SOS 23 NC SOS 28)
8-9 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 57%

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Big 10

Locks: Michigan, Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State, Wisconsin

Teams On The Bubble

Minnesota (RPI #46 SOS 3 NC SOS 31)
3-8 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 52%

Nebraska (RPI #59 SOS 37 NC SOS 86)
3-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 67%
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Pacific 12

Locks: Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, UCLA

Should be in: Oregon

Teams on the Bubble:

Stanford (RPI #41 SOS 16 NC SOS 63)
6-9 vs the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 79%

California (RPI #54 SOS 45 NC SOS 121)
5-8 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 46%
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SEC

Locks: Florida, Kentucky

Teams on the bubble:

Tennessee (RPI #49 SOS 15 NC SOS 38)
3-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 73%

Missouri (RPI #52 SOS 89 NC SOS 169)
4-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 40%

Arkansas (RPI #58 SOS 80 NC SOS 198)
5-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 56%

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West Coast
Locks: BYU, Gonzaga
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Other Conferences

Locks: Wichita State

Teams on the Bubble:

Southern Mississippi (RPI #37 SOS 159 NC SOS 168)
1-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1)
Chances for an at large bid: 40%

North Dakota State (RPI #44 SOS 119 NC SOS 15)
2-1 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (0) Summit Championship loss still could get them in.
Chances for an at large bid: 35%
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Breakdown of the bubble teams

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Auo-VV8zL2EfdDVRS3cxWWhpMFNheVZXY09uWTZFWEE&output=html

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