Jason Wells’ Bracketology NCAA Bubble Watch March 2

American Athletic

Locks: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, Memphis, SMU

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Atlantic 10

Locks: George Washington, Massachusetts, Saint Louis, Virginia Commonwealth

Should be in: Saint Joseph’s

Teams on the Bubble:

Dayton (RPI #56 SOS 63 NC SOS 98)
3-5 vs teams in the field
Wins/Losses games remaining: (2) Win both games this week.
Chances for an at large bid: 31%
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ACC

Locks: Duke, Pittsburgh,North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia

Teams on the Bubble:

Florida State (RPI #55 SOS 36 NC SOS 106)
3-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (3) Win all three.
Chances for an at large bid: 15%
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Big 12

Locks: Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Texas

Teams on the Bubble:

Baylor (RPI #45 SOS 12 NC SOS 49)
5-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (2) Win one game your should be in and two wins a lock and 1 slip up means win 1 game in the Big 12 tournament.
Chances for an at large bid: 82%

Oklahoma State (RPI #49 SOS 48 NC SOS 104)
4-9 vs Teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (2) Go see Baylor
Chances for an at large bid: 52%
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Big East

Locks: Creighton, Villanova

Should be in: Xavier

Teams on the Bubble:

Providence (RPI #54 SOS 62 NC SOS 152)
3-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (2) Sweating
Chances for an at large bid: 18%

St. John’s (RPI #62 SOS 32 NC SOS 122)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1) Sweating
Chances for an at large bid: 17%

Georgetown (RPI #65 SOS 20 NC SOS 25)
6-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) Sweating.
Chances for an at large bid: 9%
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Big 10

Locks: Michigan, Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State, Wisconsin

Teams On The Bubble

Minnesota (RPI #44 SOS 6 NC SOS 44)
2-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) Must win the remaining games.
Chances for an at large bid: 60%

Nebraska (RPI #51 SOS 29 NC SOS 92)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) Can’t lose this week.
Chances for an at large bid: 46%
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Pacific 12

Locks: Arizona, Arizona State Colorado, Stanford, UCLA

Should be in: Oregon

Teams on the Bubble:

California (RPI #47 SOS 40 NC SOS 107)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) California hurts their chances by going 0-2 can’t lose anymore.
Chances for an at large bid: 72%
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SEC

Locks: Florida, Kentucky

Teams on the bubble:

Missouri (RPI #48 SOS 78 NC SOS 129)
1-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) Sweating
Chances for an at large bid: 42%

Tennessee (RPI #50 SOS 23 NC SOS 45)
2-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) Tennessee must win both games.
Chances for an at large bid: 24%

Arkansas (RPI #59 SOS 77 NC SOS 196)
5-4 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (2) Arkansas has what it takes to be in the dance but take care of your next 2 games.
Chances for an at large bid: 45%

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West Coast

Locks: BYU, Gonzaga

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Other Conferences

Locks: Wichita State

Teams on the Bubble:

Southern Mississippi (RPI #35 SOS 142 NC SOS 157)
1-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (3) Must win out and lose in the Conference USA Championship game.
Chances for an at large bid: 39%

North Dakota State (RPI #43 SOS 128 NC SOS 19)
2-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (0) Summit Championship loss still could get them in.
Chances for an at large bid: 30%
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Breakdown of the bubble teams

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Auo-VV8zL2EfdDVRS3cxWWhpMFNheVZXY09uWTZFWEE&output=html

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