Jason Wells’ Bracketology NCAA Bubble Watch February 25

American Athletic

Locks: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, Memphis

Should be In: SMU
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Atlantic 10

Locks: Massachusetts, Saint Louis

Should be in: George Washington, VCU

Teams on the Bubble:

Saint Joseph’s (RPI #38 SOS 70 NC SOS 143)
4-4 vs teams in the field
Wins/Losses games remaining: (4) Win 2 games.
Chances for an at large bid: 83%

Richmond (RPI #47 SOS 51 NC SOS 125)
4-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Win all four odds will look great one loss remain on the bubble two losses sweating on Selection Sunday.
Chances for an at large bid: 44%

Dayton (RPI #57 SOS 76 NC SOS 85
3-5 vs teams in the field
Wins/Losses games remaining: (4) 1 loss will be a toss up and 2 losses could be sweating on Selection Sunday.
Chances for an at large bid: 42%
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ACC

Locks: Duke, Pittsburgh,North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia

Should be in: None

Teams on the Bubble:

Florida State (RPI #56 SOS 41 NC SOS 123)
3-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (4) Needs to go 4-0 to still have a shot one loss NIT bound.
Chances for an at large bid: 15%
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Big 12

Locks: Kansas, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Texas

Should be in: Kansas State

Teams on the Bubble:

Baylor (RPI #40 SOS 15 NC SOS 43)
5-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (4) Win all and lose 1 your in good shape.
Chances for an at large bid: 88%

Oklahoma State (RPI #49 SOS 30 NC SOS 86)
4-9 vs Teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (3) Win all three your okay but won’t be easy Kansas, Kansas State and Iowa State
Chances for an at large bid: 29%
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Big East

Locks: Creighton, Villanova

Should be in: None

Teams on the Bubble:

St. John’s (RPI #54 SOS 35 NC SOS 131)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (3) Sweating
Chances for an at large bid: 26%

Xavier (RPI #59 SOS 61 NC SOS 116)
3-4 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Magic number is 2
Chances for an at large bid: 18%

Providence (RPI #62 SOS 65 NC SOS 185)
3-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (3) Sweating
Chances for an at large bid: 14%

Georgetown (RPI #64 SOS 33 NC SOS 35)
6-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (3) win all three and u could get yourself in.
Chances for an at large bid: 12%
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Big 10

Locks: Michigan, Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State, Wisconsin

Should be in: None

Teams On The Bubble

Minnesota (RPI #46 SOS 7 NC SOS 30
2-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (3) Magic number is 2
Chances for an at large bid: 29%

Nebraska (RPI #48 SOS 22 NC SOS 79)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Win a lease 3 games at Illinois, Northwestern, at Indiana, Wisconsin.
Chances for an at large bid: 70%
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Pacific 12

Locks: Arizona, Colorado, UCLA

Should be in: Arizona State, Stanford

Teams on the Bubble:

Oregon (RPI #41 SOS 46 NC SOS 63)
1-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Win 2 games.
Chances for an at large bid: 50%

California (RPI #52 SOS 57 NC SOS 105)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Win 2 games.
Chances for an at large bid: 80%
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SEC

Locks: Florida, Kentucky

Should be in: None

Teams on the bubble:

Missouri (RPI #45 SOS 72 NC SOS 142)
1-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Must win out the game vs Tennessee likely winner win be the third team in get to join Florida and Kentucky in the NCAA Tournament.
Chances for an at large bid: 19%

Tennessee ( RPI #60 SOS 13 NC SOS 44)
2-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Tennessee must win all four games.
Chances for an at large bid: 12%
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West Coast

Locks: None

Should be in: Gonzaga

Teams on the Bubble:

BYU (RPI #33 SOS 18 NC SOS 4)
4-4 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (1) win at San Diego odds looks good your in.
Chances for an at large bid: 89%
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Other Conferences

Locks: Wichita State

Should be in: None

Teams on the Bubble:

Toledo (RPI #32 SOS 156 NC SOS 117)
1-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (4) Win all four.
Chances for an at large bid: 51%

Southern Mississippi (RPI #35 SOS 144 NC SOS 166)
1-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (3) Must win out and lose in the Conference USA Championship game.
Chances for an at large bid: 41%

North Dakota State (RPI #43 SOS 112 NC SOS 15)
2-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (2) Must win out and maybe the Summit Championship loss still a toss up.
Chances for an at large bid: 31%
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Breakdown of the bubble teams

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Auo-VV8zL2EfdDVRS3cxWWhpMFNheVZXY09uWTZFWEE&output=html

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