Jason Wells’ Bracketology NCAA Bubble Watch February 18

American Athletic

Locks: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, Memphis

Should be In: None

Teams on the Bubble:

SMU (RPI # 49 SOS 147 NC SOS 294)
3-3 vs teams in the field.
Win/Losses games remaining: (5) 4-1 will get them in

Atlantic 10

Locks: Massachusetts, Saint Louis

Should be in: George Washington, VCU

Teams on the Bubble:

Richmond (RPI #35 SOS 46 NC SOS 105)
4-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 5-1 will get them in

Saint Joseph’s (RPI #43 SOS 56 NC SOS 144)
4-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 5-1 will get them in

Dayton (RPI #59 SOS 63 NC SOS 81
3-5 vs teams in the field
Wins/Losses games remaining: (6) 5-1 will get them in
ACC

Locks: Duke, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Virginia

Should be in: North Carolina

Teams on the Bubble:

North Carolina State (RPI #51 SOS 21 NC SOS 101)
1-8 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (6) 6-0 will get them in one loss keeps them on the bubble.

Florida State (RPI #61 SOS 55 NC SOS 91)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (5) 5-0 will still keep them on the bubble 4-1 they will be sweating.

Big 12

Locks: Kansas, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Texas

Should be in: Kansas State

Teams on the Bubble:

Oklahoma State (RPI #45 SOS 13 NC SOS 73)
4-9 vs Teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (5) 5-0 a lock or 4-1 still get them in 3-2 be on the bubble.

Baylor (RPI #50 SOS 5 NC SOS 82)
5-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (5) 4-1 would put them in.

West Virginia (RPI #74 SOS 39 NC SOS 188)
3-9 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (5) Must win out to get into the 2nd round 1 loss first four or not get in.
Big East

Locks: Creighton, Villanova

Should be in: None

Teams on the Bubble:

Xavier (RPI #41 SOS 41 NC SOS 83)
3-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 4-2 will feel safe 3-3 or 2-4 could get them into the first four.

St. John’s (RPI #52 SOS 37 NC SOS 117)
2-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (5) Win out the remaining teams on your schedule 1 or 2 losses will keep the on the bubble on March 16.

Providence (RPI #57 SOS 78 NC SOS 190)
4-4 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (5) Must win out to be off the bubble.

Georgetown (RPI #58 SOS 28 NC SOS 43)
4-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (5) 4-1 could be a toss up 3-2 sweating on Selection Sunday.
Big 10

Locks: Michigan, Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State, Wisconsin

Should be in: None

Teams On The Bubble

Minnesota (RPI #33 SOS 4 NC SOS 23

4-5 vs teams in the field

Win/Losses games remaining: (5) 3-2 could keep them in.

Nebraska (RPI #53 SOS 19 NC SOS 97)
3-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) Must win out 5-1 could keep them on th bubble 4-2 could keep them out.

Pacific 12

Locks: Arizona, Colorado, UCLA

Should be in: Arizona State

Teams on the Bubble:
Oregon (RPI #44 SOS 34 NC SOS 70)
1-6 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 4-2 still get them in. 3-3 would get them into the first four or bust.

California (RPI #46 SOS 59 NC SOS 112)
4-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 4-2 magic record 3-3 good side of the bubble 2-4 wrong side.

Stanford (RPI #48 SOS 48 NC SOS 85)
4-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 4-2 magic record 3-3 could get them sweating.

SEC

Locks: Florida, Kentucky

Should be in: None

Teams on the bubble:

Tennessee ( RPI #54 SOS 9 NC SOS 45)
2-7 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) must win out 5-1 could still get them in but be on the bubble 4-2 is danger zone.

Missouri (RPI #38 SOS 69 NC SOS 141)
2-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) 5-1 could get them in 4-2 or worst would be on the bubble

West Coast

Locks: Gonzaga

Should be in: None

Teams on the Bubble:

BYU (RPI #40 SOS 20 NC SOS 5)
2-5 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (3) They have to win out 1 loss still get them in like the first four.
Other Conferences

Locks: Wichita State

Should be in: None

Teams on the Bubble:

Toledo (RPI #30 SOS 126 NC SOS 139)
1-1 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (6) Must win out and lose in the MAC Championship Game. 1 loss ?

Southern Mississippi (RPI #42 SOS 142 NC SOS 169)
2-1 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining: (5) Must win out and lose in the Conference USA Championship game.

North Dakota State (RPI #47 SOS 110 NC SOS 14)
2-2 vs teams in the field
Win/Losses games remaining (3) Must win out and maybe the Summit Championship loss still a toss up.

Breakdown of the bubble teams

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0Auo-VV8zL2EfdDVRS3cxWWhpMFNheVZXY09uWTZFWEE&output=html

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